Thursday, June 2, 2011

Series of articles on Colo. Public Radio

I recently was interviewed in person by Ben Markus over at Colorado Public Radio. They've been incorporating pieces of the interview into recent segments.

Here's a piece of an earlier remote interview:

Foreclosure fillings fell last quarter by 27%. Ryan McMaken is the chief economist at the Colorado Division of Housing.

McMaken: It’s quite a drop, even compared to all the other first quarters, so that we can forget about seasonal issues, the numbers are still down considerably from an average first quarter number.

McMacken [sic] says this may signal growing strength in the real estate market. Initially, the slow down in foreclosure fillings came from banks halting so-called robo-signing. Some lenders and got into legal trouble for approving foreclosures without even reading the documents. But McMaken says that’s probably not the cause for the slowdown now.

Monday, February 14, 2011

Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Time-lapse video on the spread of foreclosures in Colorado

Here's a time-lapse map I put together on foreclosures in Colorado. Primarily, I put it together to show the spread of foreclosures from Colorado's Front Range to mountain areas and Western Slope areas.

Video update on 3rd Q foreclosures in Colorado

In this video, I look at the latest trends in foreclosure events in Colorado.

Thursday, November 4, 2010

Latest video: Employment down 5.8% in Colorado, 11% in Grand Junction

In this video, I look at statewide employment and compare some trends in Grand Junction and Fort Collins. I also look at employment in construction and the service sector.

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

"Monopolist" Microsoft rapidly losing market share

Cross posted at Mises Economics Blog.

Microsoft is slowly dying as a consumer brand. As recently as five or six years ago, though, left liberals and other anti-business ideologues were still making comments about how Microsoft was a monopoly that was crushing competition in the market place.

The less sophisticated of these critiques centered on nothing more than the fact that Microsoft enjoyed huge market share ten years ago. The more sophisticated critiques noted that Microsoft had been successful at expanding market share through agreements with PC providers like Dell who pre-packaged their PCs with Microsoft software.

Anti-IP libertarians have made convincing arguments about patents, but the IP-loving competitors of Microsoft (and the Feds who make IP possible) hardly have a problem with IP.

None of this behavior around bundling products is remotely "monopolist" of course, since there were no real barriers to entry into the market beyond the fact that people really liked Microsoft's products and weren't interested in going out of their way to get other products. Linux and Apple's OS have always been available for purchase and use. People simply didn't like them as much.

We should mention, of course, that a lot of this anti-Microsoft hysteria came form the early Apple fanbois who saw (and still see) one's choice of computing products as some kind of moral issue. Thus, the Apple disciples never tired of portraying Microsoft as an evil corporation contrasted with the cute and cuddly people at Apple.

Other competitors of Microsoft resorted to monopolist talk also, and Sun Microsystems, which had been producing far less popular products for many years, sued Microsoft for "anti-competitive behavior."

Eventually, the federal judiciary sided with Microsoft's competitors, and federal judges who could not even turn a computer on, started making sweeping judgments about the software industry and computing and forced a variety of reforms in Microsoft's structure to make it less "monopolistic."

In spite of all of these efforts by competitors to use the power of the state to crush Microsoft, Microsoft continued for several years to dominate the computing market with both businesses and consumers.

Eventually, however, Microsoft ceased to be inventive and its browser, operating system and platforms either failed to impress, or were never adapted at all to deal with the new realities of modern computing.

The decline of Microsoft simply illustrates what many free market economists had predicted all along. Namely, that Microsoft, never having been a actual monopolist (monopoly only being possible within a framework of government privilege) would some day fade from view as other, more inventive organizations took over Microsoft's market share.

This happened to IBM, of course. IBM was once denounced as a monpolist, yet today, who could make such a claim without producing smirks in response?

Microsoft's retreat has little to do with the rent-seeking lawsuits levied against it by Sun and others, but has everything to do with the fact that Microsoft hasn't produced any interesting or inventive products in years.

With losing market share, Microsoft is no longer the bogeyman of the anti-monpolist crowd. Now it's Google that is supposedly forcing us all to bend the knee before its monopolist power.

(Better get the federal courts involved, or we'll all be living in Google-owned company towns within a decade!)

Unless they enjoy government privilege, (as was the case with Pan Am under the Civil Aeronautics Board, for example) these alleged "monpolists" come and go, and these reversals of fortune happen all the more quickly in the fast moving technology world.

The fact that Microsoft now struggles to even keep up with the rapidly-changing computing world illustrates just how unconvincing and short-sighted are the claims or monopoly that are usually little more than an expression of personal opinion and self-interest.

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Foreclosure-gate poised to do some major damage

The Market Oracle has a nice and detailed piece explaining the history of mortgage loan securitization and debt collection, and shows how the current crisis has the potential to inflict massive amounts of damage on the mortgage and banking industries.

Here's my favorite part:

Foreclosures can only be done by the note-holder, who has the legal standing to show up in court and ask the judge to foreclose and evict. In about half the states, they have to bring the ORIGINAL (not a photocopy or electronic version) document with "wet signature", so the judge can see the actual ink on paper. They have to prove the chain of title and that they own the note they intend to foreclose on.

BECAUSE IF THE CHAIN OF TITLE OF THE NOTE IS BROKEN, THEY WON'T BE ABLE TO FORECLOSE.

Once the people going into foreclosure figure this out, they will stop paying and hire lawyers. Some will keep their homes for free.

Once the people who have been paying their mortgages figure out they might not need to pay, they will stop paying.

Once the lawyers figure this out, they are going to be busy for the next five years helping people sue the banks.

Once the shareholders of the bank stocks figure this out, they will sell the shares.

Once the pension funds figure this out, they will also sue the banks and return their now junk MBS.

Once real estate buyers figure this out, they will stop buying anything with the potential for a tainted chain of title. The foreclosures will stop selling (many already have).

Even the sheriff is figuring this out. What happens when the sheriff refuses to do the foreclosure?


The moral of this story is: If you're buying a house, don't cheap out on your title insurance.

Tuesday Links, August 25

 Heading Toward the Cliff  Many Americans think the state can solve our economic woes. It's the state that caused them. Article by Jacob...